Assessment of climate change until the end of the twenty-first century with special emphasis on the Croatian coast and tourism - impacts, vulnerability and adaptations

Kalinski, Vladimir (2013) Assessment of climate change until the end of the twenty-first century with special emphasis on the Croatian coast and tourism - impacts, vulnerability and adaptations. Doctoral thesis, Faculty of Science > Department of Geology.

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Abstract

Using ModelE , reliability of modern climate models was analysed by compari ng observed v ersus simulated sur face temperatures and precipitation for the period 1901 - 2011 and 1901 - 2000 , respectively . G lobal surface temperature and precipitation were projected for the end of century . Projections of several global and regional models were analysed in order to get su rface temperature and precipitation values for Croatia for the period 2070 - 2100 . According to A2 climate scenario , a r ise in temperature is projected for all seasons in Croatia , while a decrease of precipitation is expected for all seasons except winter . S now cover cannot be pr ojected with certainty . More frequent occurrences and intense severity of extreme weather events is certain. After IPCC projections , mean sea level is expected to rise . Impacts on and vulnerability of Croatian coastal area and tour ism sector were analysed and number of “no - regret” adaptation measures ha ve been suggested , as well as a new methodology for determination of vulnerability potential .

Item Type: Thesis (Doctoral thesis)
Keywords: climate change, climate simulations, Croatia, coastal area, tourism, impacts, vulnerability, adaptation
Supervisor: Prohić, Esad
Date: 2013
Number of Pages: 258
Subjects: NATURAL SCIENCES > Interdisciplinary Natural Sciences > Environmental Science
Divisions: Faculty of Science > Department of Geology
Depositing User: Sonja Borak
Date Deposited: 05 Feb 2014 10:41
Last Modified: 05 Feb 2014 10:41
URI: http://digre.pmf.unizg.hr/id/eprint/307

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